Common Sense from the Top, Sequester or Not

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Air Force photo / Master Sgt. Jeremy Lock

An Air Force F-22 Raptor fighter aircraft.

A memo recently went out to the military’s technology and contracting community, encouraging them to “request requirements relief” in situations where the cost of satisfying a requirement exceeds the benefit. This guidance is particularly relevant given the current sequestration situation.

Specifically, the memo encourages program managers to consider trade-offs “in cases where significant cost savings may be achieved with marginal impact to operational capability (i.e., spending 15 percent of a program’s budget to get the last 3 percent of…performance).”

The memo was signed by Admiral James Winnefeld, vice chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and chairman of the Joint Requirements Oversight Council.

A signature block like that carries a lot of weight.

ADM Winnefeld’s guidance is not a new concept, nor does it claim to be.

There was always a wide consensus, if not unanimous agreement, that spending 15% of the budget on 3% of the capability might be a bad idea.

To be sure, there are cases where the final 3% makes all the difference and is worth the expense, but as a general rule if we can get 97% of the performance for 85% of the money (pardon my math!) it probably makes sense to stop there.

Here’s why this guidance makes sense.

No matter how precise and scientific it may sound, when we peek behind the curtain on the formally-documented requirements, we often find they are the result of round numbers and guestimations. Writing requirements this way is not bad, but treating such a requirement like holy writ is inconsistent with its earthly origin.

Upon closer inspection, there’s a pretty good chance nobody needed that final 3% in the first place. We need it much less if it’s going to eat a disproportional amount of the budget, which is precisely ADM Winnefeld’s point. Again, there are times where the last bit of improvement is critical, but this is not always the case.

Even in economically-flush times, diligent cost-benefit tradeoffs are theoretically a central part of the job. This was always how things were supposed to work and doubly so in an age of austerity. However, if these tradeoff assessments were being performed with the appropriate frequency and rigor, there would be no need for the “greater emphasis” memo. And yet, here we are.

Regardless of past practices, the message is clear: it is not automatically acceptable to burn through larger and larger piles of funds in the pursuit of smaller and smaller improvements towards hypothetical performance targets. All involved parties are being challenged to take a hard look at the documented requirements and ask the question “Is this really necessary?” Sometimes the answer will be yes, but it was never unusual for the answer to be no. What’s new is the strong desire to ask the question and to provide answers quickly.

Yes, we must equip our troops to out-perform any opponent and operate in the world’s most challenging environments. But ADM Winnefeld’s memo is clear: reaching this goal does not require overspending on unnecessary performance parameters.

Indeed, such an approach would be counterproductive. Extensive research indicates that simpler, less-expensive systems tend to outperform more complex, more expensive alternatives.

The vice chairman’s renewed emphasis on cost-benefit tradeoffs is a welcome step in the right direction and just might help nudge military technology programs in the direction of less expensive, more effective equipment.

Lieut. Colonel Dan Ward is an active-duty acquisitions officer in the U.S. Air Force, currently stationed at Hanscom Air Force Base, Massachusetts. The views expressed in this article are solely those of the author and do not reflect the official policy or position of the U.S. Air Force.

3 comments
famulla5
famulla5

Tourists and business people seeking visas to visit the United States could face even longer waits at already swamped US embassies if severe budget cuts kick in at the State Department.

It was increasingly apparent that no legislative solution will be ready before automatic budget cuts — the so-called sequester — kick in on Friday, forcing a wide range of government agencies to trim services.

Faced with ballooning demand, the State Department had embarked on a hiring surge to recruit more consular officers to deal with the rising volume of traffic, deputy actingspokesman Patrick Ventrell said on Thursday.

But if the sequester takes effect the department will be forced to cut back its programs, including consular services, he warned. IF THIS IS USA I am not coming I thank you FirozaliA.Mulla DBA

famulla5
famulla5

TRUE or not true?While odds are that we will sacrifice our women, children, elderly and infirm first, the budget sequester holds the faint possibility of reducing our second-most sacred cow: our bloated military budget.

Dollar for dollar, military expenditures create the fewest jobs or useful products, yet take the largest piece of the pie, and are fiercely defended by every congressperson because each district enjoys the largess of a fat contractor and/or a fat base; barrels of pork to grease the rails of the money train.

Washington’s sacred cows include Boeing Co., Fairchild Air Force Base and Joint Base Lewis-McChord, to name a few.

Each has value to someone, no doubt, but do we really need a military budget equal to or larger than rest of the world’s military budgets combined? A budget supporting more than 800 overseas bases? A budget larger than it took to win World War II? By sacrificing our most vulnerable, exactly whom are we defending?

Oh yes, our most sacred cow? I’d tell, but not after what that lobby has recently done to war hero and Secretary of Defense nominee former Sen. Chuck Hagel. I thank you Firozali A.Mulla DBA

famulla5
famulla5

Law or no law we will have guns.Unnoticed amid dozens of tract homes in the Denver suburbs, a nondescript industrial building is suddenly in the middle of the gun control debate in Colorado. The company, started in an ex-Marine's basement in 1999, is in a standoff with Colorado Democrats who want to restrict the size of ammunition magazines after mass shootings in a suburban Denver movie theatre and a Connecticut elementary school. Magpul has issued lawmakers an ultimatum potentially worth millions: Pass the bill, and the business will move. It is a bold threat from a company that, by its founder's admission, has distanced itself from politics. "The people who wrote the bill didn't even know we existed in the state," said Richard Fitzpatrick, the founder and president of the company, one of the country's largest producers of magazines and other firearm accessories for gun enthusiasts, law enforcement and the military. The warning from Erie-based Magpul underscores the political pressures Democrats are weighing as they advance the strictest gun-control measures lawmakers have ever considered in a state that still prides its frontier spirit. Other gun-control proposals include universal background checks, a ban on concealed firearms on campuses, and holding assault-weapon sellers and owners liable for shootings. Opponents need only three Democrats in the Senate to vote no against the magazine proposal to defeat it, and two have already said they won't support the bill. But most Democrats are not budging. "When you have the means available to you at every single corner to commit a horrendous act, we will continue to see what we've seen, which is the status quo, where unfortunately gun violence and violence in general is prevalent in our communities," said Democratic Sen. Jessie Ulibarri, who will be considering the magazine bill on Monday in the Judiciary Committee. The bill has already passed the House, and Democratic Gov. John Hickenlooper has promised to sign it. I thank you Firozali A.Mulla DBA